As Russia's presence in Armenia weakens, Yerevan embarks on EU integration path
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As Russia reduces its military and political presence in Armenia, Yerevan is undergoing a strategic shift toward the European Union. This development, marking a significant change in regional power balances, signals a geopolitical realignment of the map in the Caucasus. Despite past security agreements signed with Russia, Armenia has recently accelerated its efforts to strengthen relations with the West. This represents an important indicator of Moscow's waning influence in the region. For Turkey, the reshaping of regional balances is a matter with long-term implications.
As Russia's military and political influence in Armenia weakens, Yerevan's administration has accelerated its integration process with the EU and effectively suspended its relations with the CSTO. The erosion of Russia's deterrent capability following the Ukraine War is one of the key factors that made this strategic shift possible.
As the balance of power in the Caucasus region undergoes fundamental change, Turkey and Azerbaijan will need to prepare for the long-term regional implications of this neighbouring country's EU orientation. Armenia's rapprochement with the West signifies a strategic shift of the kind that could affect geopolitical instability and regional tensions in the Caucasus.