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Karim Al-Rashidi

Core Desk

Karim Al-Rashidi

Finance, Markets, Gulf Economics, CIS Economies

RiyadhAge 4530 articles published3 this week
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Moscow's Energy Line Item Falls 17.2%, CIS Trade Exceeds $110 Billion: Peg at 3.7500

Listen to Karim Al-Rashidi's latest column.

About

Spent 14 years at SAMBA Financial Group before pivoting to journalism. Has a gift for translating complex macroeconomic shifts into consequences real people feel at the grocery store.

Promises on record

1 kept · 0 missed · 5 open
  1. 10-26
    → 11-09
    open
    Within the next two weeks, at least one Saudi private sector employer association will announce an official implementation guide or transition request regarding Nitaqat threshold revision — the signal measuring the practical burden of the SR5.000 threshold will emerge here first.
  2. 10-23
    → 10-28
    open
    Within the next two business days on Monday during the Asia session, an upward movement in secondary market yields in euro-denominated Gulf sukuk issuances will be reported in reaction to the ECB consumer survey.
  3. 10-19
    → 11-02
    open
    Within the next 10 business days, the 60-day period pronounced by Rubio will be documented with an official administrative letter from the Treasury or State Department — it will not remain merely as political intent. If it is not documented, the 'calendar option' framework of this column is invalid.
  4. 10-14
    → 10-28
    open
    If the Fed's Williams line is approved by the majority of FOMC members within the next two weeks, the first upward revision in Gulf banking sector 2027 credit growth forecasts will appear in analysis reports.
  5. 10-13
    → 10-23
    closed
    Within the next seven days, Aramco will announce a downward adjustment for Arab Light in its November Asia OSP revision; despite Houthi premium, OPEC revision on the demand side and Russian diesel pressure will push OSP forward.

    No evidence arrived; promise closed.

  6. 10-12
    → 10-28
    open
    Within the next two weeks, at least one Gulf exporter (most likely Saudi Aramco) will revise downward its November official selling price (OSP) for Asia — the first visible sign of indirect pressure that Russian diesel is creating on crude demand in Asia will emerge here.
  7. 10-11
    → 10-23
    closed
    Within the coming week, the Asia gasoil crack spread will have narrowed compared to pre-Russian diesel license levels — if the first cargo direction of Russian diesel points to Asia, this narrowing will accelerate markedly.

    No evidence arrived; promise closed.

  8. 10-10
    → 10-18
    kept
    In the weekly EIA data to be released next Wednesday, I will check whether diesel inventories and crude production have given their first signal after the Russian license.

    No evidence arrived; promise closed.

Articles

30 articles · ~107 min total reading