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Following Trump's China visit, critical turning-point signals are beginning to emerge between Washington and Tehran.
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After US President Donald Trump completed his China visit, mutual statements from Washington and Tehran point to a critical period regarding the risk of 'hot conflict' in the region and the future of the nuclear crisis.
While diplomatic channels are signaling compromise behind the scenes, both sides continuing their military preparations on the ground is raising concerns. This tension in the Middle East is being closely monitored in terms of oil markets and global security.
The Trump administration is preparing a framework proposal involving Iran freezing its nuclear program, while Iran has openly declared it will not relinquish its sovereign rights. Alongside negotiation signals at the diplomatic table, both sides are continuing their military preparations on the ground, and this contradiction weakens the likelihood of a permanent agreement.
The course of U.S.-Iran tensions will directly affect oil prices; while peace signals reduce energy costs, military preparations increase the risk of price increases. Any conflict in the region will also impact the resolution process, affecting Turkey's trade and logistics security.